Novavax Inc. (NVAX) Technical analysis

    Healthcare
    Market data as of 2026-09-04 · Autonium metric computed 2026-09-04 · model v1

    NVAX technical analysis — the short answer

    NVAX is classified Uptrend with a 14-day RSI of 70.7, three-month return of +7.7% and 20-day realised volatility of 58.8%. Autonium's composite Algo Score currently reads 85/100.

    Price versus moving averages

    Last close10.22
    20-day8.92+14.6%
    50-day8.58+19.2%
    100-day8.84+15.7%
    200-day8.55+19.5%
    Trend classificationUptrend

    Returns

    1 week+10.4%
    1 month+32.0%
    3 months+7.7%
    6 months+2.4%
    12 months+31.2%

    Volatility and drawdown

    Realised volatility (20d, annualised)+58.8%
    Realised volatility (60d, annualised)+50.0%
    1-year volatility percentile56
    Current drawdown from peak-8.7%
    Deepest 1-year drawdown-34.9%
    SPY volatility (20d)+8.1%

    Autonium Algo Score

    Current score85 / 100
    7-day change-3
    30-day change+61
    90-day change+79
    1-year range1 – 93
    Readings above 7016
    Readings below 3033

    Signal drivers

    MomentumPositive
    Technical trendPositive
    VolatilityNeutral
    SentimentNeutral

    NVAX's Algo Score fell 3 points over the last seven days. The factors currently reading positive are momentum, technical trend; reading negative: none.

    Sector peers — 3-month return

    LLY — Eli Lilly and Co.1.6
    UNH — UnitedHealth Group-0.6
    JNJ — Johnson & Johnson18.2
    ABBV — AbbVie Inc.12.9
    MRK — Merck & Co.24.5

    Bullish signals

    • Price above the 50-day average
    • Price above the 200-day average
    • +3.3% three-month excess return vs SPY

    Neutral signals

    • Volatility in the 56th percentile of its own year
    • Normal volume regime

    Bearish signals

    • RSI stretched at 70.7

    Score history

    • 2026-09-0785
    • 2026-09-0485
    • 2026-09-0385
    • 2026-09-0286
    • 2026-09-0193
    • 2026-08-3188
    • 2026-08-2881
    • 2026-08-2779
    • 2026-08-2679
    • 2026-08-2581
    • 2026-08-2469
    • 2026-08-2180

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    NVAX overviewNVAX rsiNVAX moving averagesNVAX momentumNVAX relative strengthNVAX volatilityNVAX drawdownNVAX volumeNVAX trendNVAX algo score historyNVAX vs LLYNVAX vs UNHHealthcare sector strengthAlgo Score rankings

    Autonium publishes research, not recommendations. Scores, factors and written reads describe historical and current data and are not buy or sell advice. Not financial advice. Market data is refreshed on a schedule and may lag. See our methodology and disclosures.